Store & Field Operations

New site selection and catchment analysis

Model the likely trading performance of a candidate site using catchment demographics, competitor proximity, transport flows, and the performance of comparable existing stores.

Decision supportPattern-matchingRevenueAccuracy

10–20%

improvement in first-year sales forecast accuracy

Opportunity assessment

Business Impact
3

Moderate impact. Meaningful cost or revenue improvement, likely noticeable at function level but modest relative to total business scale.

Feasibility
2

Challenging. Significant technical work required. Likely needs an AI engineer or specialist vendor. Not a quick win.

Data Readiness
2

Demanding data requirements. Relies on clean, integrated data across multiple systems. Significant data preparation work typically needed.

Risk Exposure
3

Moderate risk. Some customer or external exposure. Errors create rework or reputational impact but are recoverable.

Change Complexity
4

Light people impact. A new tool slots into an existing workflow. Minimal training needed. Most people will adapt quickly.

Tooling required

Specialist AI tool

Things to consider

  • You need a reasonable number of existing stores to train on. Below roughly thirty comparable sites the model is fitting noise, and a good property director with local knowledge will beat it.

  • Cannibalisation of your own nearby stores is the most commonly missed variable. Build it into the model explicitly or you will approve sites that move sales rather than create them.

  • Treat the output as a challenge to the property paper, not a replacement for it. The value is in forcing the case to explain why this site differs from the comparable set.

  • Experiment starter: Backtest against your last ten openings. Feed the model only the data that was available before each opening and compare its first-year forecast against both the actual result and the original property paper forecast. If it beats the paper on more than half, use it as a standing second opinion.

AI Transformation Playbook

Ready to assess your own opportunities?

The playbook gives you the full 150-opportunity directory, scoring tools, and 100+ templates for every stage of an AI transformation programme.